MissionFilipe
0xa442eb390944500d8d73d710edba85e929ec779d
- Realised P&L
- $-269.01
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.85at 0.118Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$31.05at 0.760Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$18.87at 0.530Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.00at 0.004Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.11at 0.018Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 19:45 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0385432062 | $19.99 |
| 06-11 19:44 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0089274177 | $4.28 |
| 06-11 19:44 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.27 |
| 06-11 19:44 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 08:46 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.19 |
| 06-10 08:46 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.89 |
| 05-31 22:28 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 23:47 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0779516688 | $60.00 |
| 05-25 23:42 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 23:42 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 23:42 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0191280662 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 23:41 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0776734137 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 23:41 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0208688312 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 23:40 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1226956979 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 23:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1156437771 | $10.00 |