twinna
0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4
- Realised P&L
- $33.0k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $15.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.125US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.120MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.2kat 0.373MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.441Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
- +$4.8kat 0.418US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 23:51 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.532 | $53.20 |
| 09-11 02:35 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.51243683 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 21:08 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 09-10 21:07 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 09-10 21:05 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.7k |
| 09-09 02:26 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 08-28 18:31 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.649 | $1.6k |
| 08-28 18:28 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.351 | $70.20 |
| 08-28 18:28 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $1.9k |
| 08-26 01:31 | Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.905 | $3.0k |
| 08-25 23:35 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.915 | $291.85 |
| 08-25 23:33 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.79 |
| 08-25 19:42 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.6620072 | $1.7k |
| 08-25 19:37 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.7k |
| 08-25 18:07 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.4k |