muchlov
0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4
- Realised P&L
- $36.2k
- Volume
- $970.1k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $11.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.125US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.118MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.3kat 0.369MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.418US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.360Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:43 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.6257126875 | $374.17 |
| 08-02 03:31 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.608760648 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 01:11 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $207.64 |
| 07-31 01:04 | Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 07-30 22:43 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.2898041834 | $416.76 |
| 07-30 19:32 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $206.78 |
| 07-30 04:02 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4157717973 | $302.19 |
| 07-28 03:40 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $105.60 |
| 07-26 02:26 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.59 | $140.77 |
| 07-25 22:31 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.6 | $386.87 |
| 07-18 23:43 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $252.00 |
| 07-18 22:23 | Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.52 |
| 07-18 00:55 | Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.577418 | $259.84 |
| 07-13 20:14 | Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.4527652641 | $222.32 |
| 07-13 20:14 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.4666204986 | $168.45 |