kanxi
0xa43a43e94cd4c0b0e05cf287517d1aa31cfdf72e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.57
- Volume
- $110.01
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.435 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.740 | 0.805 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.51at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26?
- +$-0.94at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.54 |
| 09-26 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:37 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.11 |
| 09-24 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.0263834839 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1809523741 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |