noodles96
0xa438c10766ae2146645394bb2daf4f05e1f45d7e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $54.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $921.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.245 | $564.40 | −$376.75 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.071 | $340.45 | −$1.3k |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.018 | $15.42 | −$84.58 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.002 | $0.86 | −$99.14 |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$377.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$588.20at 0.459Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$207.21at 0.170Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$82.35at 0.728Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$69.61at 0.686Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$68.21at 0.145Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.204 | $274.57 |
| 07-10 20:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.374 | $403.41 |
| 07-03 21:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3339999976 | $81.93 |
| 07-03 21:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999989 | $93.00 |
| 07-03 21:39 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $135.29 |
| 07-03 21:39 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $49.01 |
| 06-23 17:10 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $255.00 |
| 06-22 18:26 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.16 | $34.91 |
| 06-22 13:49 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999966 | $48.00 |
| 06-22 13:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6799999987 | $151.00 |
| 05-22 18:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $32.76 |
| 05-22 18:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.161 | $29.78 |
| 05-05 04:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $560.41 |
| 05-02 04:24 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.033 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 04:23 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $112.50 |