Skippy-downunder
0xa4336f8331a8a40b3d985a2c692659e299d26341
- Realised P&L
- $-171.91
- Volume
- $76.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $3.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.390 | $3.36 | −$1.64 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega · 100 Thieves | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? · Yes | 0.702 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.00at 0.100Will Trump say "trans" during his Wisconsin speech?
- +$40.45at 0.110Will Trump say "tax queen" during his Wisconsin speech?
- +$35.14at 0.740Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during North Carolina town hall?
- +$29.42at 0.360Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$19.05at 0.130Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 13:21 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 09:37 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.7015033289 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 22:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.4743317258 | $9.47 |
| 04-19 22:11 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | BUY | 0.6599999912 | $14.69 |
| 04-19 21:38 | Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19) | SELL | 0.983 | $13.39 |
| 04-15 07:13 | Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 04-15 07:13 | Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.050503282 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 08:06 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.9519999029 | $4.00 |
| 04-13 08:06 | Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 08:06 | Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 08:06 | Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9745544758 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 08:06 | Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.7338551289 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 08:03 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | SELL | 0.888156591 | $30.12 |
| 04-12 11:02 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | BUY | 0.0367775699 | $10.05 |
| 04-12 11:01 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.5549013629 | $18.82 |