PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RentFree

0xa43093564fedb5e365c8544dcaa5c2a0b20b40d7

Realised P&L
$-191.25
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0280.009$0.17$0.39
Spread: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5) · Tochigi SC0.9810.000$0.00$362.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 06:05Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?SELL0.014$12.42
07-21 06:05Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?SELL0.014$0.10
07-02 09:53Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$141.00
06-04 06:10Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)BUY0.947$340.92
06-03 11:11Spread: Israel (-2.5)BUY0.955$324.70
05-19 10:59Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)BUY0.96$696.00
05-19 08:19NATO dissolves before 2027?BUY0.95$701.09
05-18 07:55Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)BUY0.93$651.00
05-18 06:04Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?BUY0.948$654.12
05-15 07:38Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)BUY0.95$622.25
05-15 07:34Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9672321536$32.25
05-15 06:07Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.971$626.29
05-13 08:17Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)BUY0.955$598.78
05-13 06:58Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.963$600.91
04-08 07:37Spread: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5)BUY0.981$362.97