PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa4305cd05007c1bd6188b1dfae57cbbd47b793d9

0xa4305cd05007c1bd6188b1dfae57cbbd47b793d9

Realised P&L
$-17.32
Volume
$287.21
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$3.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.4240.589$1.39+$0.39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7500.993$1.32+$0.32
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6800.605$0.89−$0.11
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:36Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-09 08:02Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.423999922$1.00
10-08 08:25Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2629999563$1.00
10-08 00:24Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-07 16:24Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-07 08:17Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.749999625$1.00
10-07 00:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7119999886$1.00
10-07 00:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
08-01 11:29Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.23$2.76
07-28 01:19Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.619999895$1.89
07-27 00:56Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.7399999632$2.01
07-26 00:51Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?BUY0.27$1.62
07-25 12:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?BUY0.6099999926$4.96
07-23 00:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-22 12:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.7399999632$2.01