5f5a
0xa42f127d7e8df9f16881ffcc9ed0bc0326875f5a
- Realised P&L
- $159.4k
- Volume
- $88.23M
- Markets traded
- 8,327
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.199Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?
- +$8.0kat 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
- +$5.7kat 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3?
- +$5.3kat 0.798Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul
- +$3.6kat 0.508Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.08 |
| 09-18 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.5101885637 | $1.04 |
| 09-18 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.97 |
| 09-18 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 09-18 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.47 |
| 09-18 02:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.97 |
| 09-18 02:30 | Spread: Bills (-16.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-18 02:29 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.54 | $7.56 |
| 09-18 02:29 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 09-18 02:28 | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | SELL | 0.44 | $6.16 |
| 09-18 02:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.97 |
| 09-18 02:19 | Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $6.60 |
| 09-18 02:19 | Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) | SELL | 0.4 | $3.60 |
| 09-18 02:14 | Spread: Bills (-1.5) | SELL | 0.89 | $1.78 |
| 09-18 02:14 | Spread: Bills (-1.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |