zarasu
0xa4296a551ae6af82959310004c6930fd8ccff9ca
- Realised P&L
- $-82.43
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $134.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.78at 0.592Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
- +$14.65at 0.547Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?
- +$10.67at 0.360Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 18?
- +$9.85at 0.325Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?
- +$8.83at 0.300Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.2999999975 | $11.84 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $30.55 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2399999989 | $17.68 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.3299999949 | $18.20 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.3099999952 | $18.15 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.1079424998 | $31.20 |
| 10-19 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.14 |
| 10-11 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.05 |
| 10-10 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $6.16 |
| 10-09 20:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.10 |
| 10-09 19:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.31 | $12.49 |
| 10-09 19:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.2199999965 | $8.88 |
| 10-09 17:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.04 |
| 10-09 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.72 |
| 10-09 02:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.096 | $6.60 |