26dollars
0xa423619b42d9efc6f1d81c6ac8e88e182e3bfd1d
- Realised P&L
- $-259.75
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $98.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.829 | 0.815 | $98.30 | −$1.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12PM ET · Up | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.00 |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 29? · Down | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$307.00 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7? · Up | 0.813 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.01at 0.785Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?
- +$93.91at 0.520Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30?
- +$64.03at 0.906Ethereum Up or Down on June 11?
- +$55.44at 0.887S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
- +$53.65at 0.864Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.829088002 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 18:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $59.70 |
| 09-30 20:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 21:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.91 |
| 07-09 18:09 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 9? | BUY | 0.6364640884 | $54.00 |
| 07-08 16:57 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on July 8? | BUY | 0.7959706939 | $53.00 |
| 07-03 17:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.694653932 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 21:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $496.92 |
| 07-01 19:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.883390553 | $439.42 |
| 07-01 19:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $8.40 |
| 07-01 17:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.6997457938 | $49.00 |
| 06-30 21:24 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $195.87 |
| 06-30 20:21 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 20:09 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $396.58 |
| 06-30 16:24 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 30? | BUY | 0.858974017 | $341.00 |