santiagoochoa
0xa41edbd9d29608a72ff47d8ed283396c2f7c1253
- Realised P&L
- $18.37
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.007 | $2.69 | −$1.51 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.41 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.56 |
| Will Ignacio Buse win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.75at 0.174Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.00at 0.600Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
- +$14.62at 0.347Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$10.22at 0.572Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$7.08at 0.265Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 21:31 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.36 | $28.80 |
| 09-07 01:53 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.58 | $37.53 |
| 09-05 22:24 | Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 09-05 20:31 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.16 | $47.06 |
| 09-05 19:31 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 09-05 19:29 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.68 | $5.53 |
| 09-04 04:31 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.2588525 | $20.71 |
| 09-03 22:33 | Will Ignacio Buse win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0035862069 | $13.00 |
| 09-02 20:19 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.665 | $5.41 |
| 09-02 20:17 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 08-27 02:11 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.97 |
| 08-24 18:06 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 23:59 | Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0117150238 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 23:54 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3399999917 | $22.00 |
| 08-23 23:54 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4739999903 | $25.00 |