PolyBot

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Traders

0xa41425fd3fc70f4d5fa61081b176f14a98b4905e

0xa41425fd3fc70f4d5fa61081b176f14a98b4905e

Realised P&L
$36.74
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$35.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8180.885$24.38+$1.85
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.967$4.16+$0.16
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) · Trinidad and Tobago0.6301.000$2.27+$0.84
Dominican Republic vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7301.000$1.86+$0.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9300.925$1.60−$0.01
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2300.029$0.63−$4.37
Spread: CSD Municipal (-2.5) · CSD Suchitepéquez0.7500.245$0.48−$0.98
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1040.029$0.28−$0.73
Cayman Islands vs. Dominica: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5050.001$0.00−$3.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:40Cayman Islands vs. Dominica: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$1.96
09-24 23:38Spread: Haiti (-1.5)BUY0.6299999119$1.43
09-24 23:21Dominican Republic vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5BUY0.7299998819$1.36
09-24 23:08Cayman Islands vs. Dominica: O/U 2.5BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-24 22:44Spread: CSD Municipal (-2.5)BUY0.75$1.46
09-24 17:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.9299999827$1.61
09-24 17:26Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 4.5BUY0.6899999645$3.89
09-24 17:20Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 3.5BUY0.48$1.41
09-24 16:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.76$5.96
09-15 18:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.986$2.09
09-12 14:33Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.2999999703$1.01
08-25 16:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.996$0.40
08-19 08:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?BUY0.3499998826$1.64
08-19 08:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?BUY0.2199998872$1.17
08-19 07:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88999998$4.00