alphastrike10
0xa40cc3bc1278bdefdf869c653a9281df80cb1bae
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $85.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $571.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes | 0.708 | 0.150 | $571.97 | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.73at 0.898Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
- +$450.16at 0.816Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$148.61at 0.871Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
- +$15.92at 0.243Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
- +$-68.00at 0.001Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 01:20 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | SELL | 0.0109413068 | $1.48 |
| 04-02 01:13 | Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? | SELL | 0.3204476959 | $65.92 |
| 04-02 01:09 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.6695243185 | $25.05 |
| 04-02 01:07 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 04-02 00:49 | Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2430431334 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 17:31 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $68.00 |
| 03-09 23:25 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.7080761881 | $2.7k |
| 03-09 20:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.062 | $125.35 |
| 03-06 09:18 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.816272099 | $2.0k |
| 03-01 22:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.247297428 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 21:52 | Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.8879126782 | $1000.00 |
| 02-22 06:47 | Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? | BUY | 0.9332367935 | $1.5k |
| 02-22 05:27 | Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.8706163023 | $1000.00 |
| 02-22 05:24 | Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? | BUY | 0.8776136479 | $2.5k |