aryuvvik
0xa40ae276cb128022edddd2deef209bb8167d5828
- Realised P&L
- $53.20
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $13.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.971 | $8.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.495 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?
- +$58.87at 0.192Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.500Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
- +$8.46at 0.780Will Conservative Party win less than 125 seats in the next UK Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:46 | Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 08:46 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 12:55 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.0k |
| 05-08 13:32 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.0k |
| 03-09 08:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.4k |
| 03-08 08:08 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.4k |
| 01-11 21:08 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.1921183523 | $14.00 |
| 11-29 14:36 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999922 | $8.00 |
| 11-29 14:36 | Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | SELL | 0.987 | $45.42 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | BUY | 0.9559999991 | $44.00 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 09:02 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.625999918 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 09:02 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |