BTCmaxi
0xa40a970102c23322a0f5e28332a58c89dcf3fa62
- Realised P&L
- $-72.6k
- Volume
- $2.16M
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $32.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.4kat 0.420Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
- +$17.1kat 0.407Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$10.2kat 0.726Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
- +$9.9kat 0.742Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$9.3kat 0.362Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.3k |
| 10-08 19:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799955083 | $4.2k |
| 10-04 10:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4579955529 | $5.7k |
| 10-04 10:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.451 | $5.7k |
| 09-03 14:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2894497897 | $3.4k |
| 09-03 14:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.9k |
| 09-03 13:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.41 | $30.92 |
| 09-03 13:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.0k |
| 09-03 13:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $541.10 |
| 09-03 13:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $430.77 |
| 09-03 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299906743 | $7.1k |
| 09-03 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.2k |
| 09-03 07:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $801.27 |
| 09-02 07:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.3k |
| 08-26 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.29496 | $147.48 |