PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BTCmaxi

0xa40a970102c23322a0f5e28332a58c89dcf3fa62

Realised P&L
$-72.6k
Volume
$2.16M
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$32.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2810.155$12.6k−$10.2k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4540.403$10.1k−$1.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1990.105$6.5k−$5.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.055$2.2k−$3.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.040$1.3k−$1.5k
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00−$772.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner · Vitality0.2870.000$0.00−$678.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · 9z0.4600.000$0.00−$2.3k
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner · Spirit0.5400.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.0k
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · G20.2650.000$0.00−$3.2k
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · GamerLegion0.5900.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes0.6830.000$0.00−$16.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.3920.000$0.00−$7.8k
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · TheMongolz0.2680.000$0.00−$3.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:54Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$2.3k
10-08 19:29Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799955083$4.2k
10-04 10:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4579955529$5.7k
10-04 10:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.451$5.7k
09-03 14:17Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.2894497897$3.4k
09-03 14:16Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.43$6.9k
09-03 13:42Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.41$30.92
09-03 13:41Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.0k
09-03 13:39Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$541.10
09-03 13:38Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$430.77
09-03 13:37Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299906743$7.1k
09-03 07:57Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$3.2k
09-03 07:56Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$801.27
09-02 07:40Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.34$4.3k
08-26 17:36Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.29496$147.48