PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa4067A9ef3b02EA7D12200Ab457eD9aff05cEcb9-1779287850847

0xa4067a9ef3b02ea7d12200ab457ed9aff05cecb9

Realised P&L
$-50.44
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$354.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9650.999$233.75+$7.75
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6300.865$41.19+$11.19
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9980.999$40.02+$0.02
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? · Yes0.7900.605$30.63−$9.37
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8390.888$8.47+$0.47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5440.000$0.00−$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:41Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.9$78.94
09-16 15:41Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.8792970655$223.53
08-27 17:31Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9653900294$226.00
08-26 18:17Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?BUY0.7899999978$40.00
08-20 15:44Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.998$40.00
08-20 15:39Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.6699999972$50.00
07-21 16:15AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.8389999953$8.00
07-21 16:15Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
07-21 16:14Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.8809999985$40.00
07-20 21:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.924999991$100.00
07-20 21:11Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.439999993$30.00
07-20 20:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.924999995$140.00
07-20 20:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999794$30.00
07-20 20:37Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.4299999984$80.00
07-20 20:37Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.5779012589$29.38