0xa3FE5C8da3692e05396cb83AF5EB8a39BD2Ea7A5-1773781155317
0xa3fe5c8da3692e05396cb83af5eb8a39bd2ea7a5
- Realised P&L
- $-842.94
- Volume
- $158.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $33.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.13at 0.094Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$20.10at 0.205Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$12.98at 0.572Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$9.81at 0.005Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$3.52at 0.040Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 14:37 | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 14:34 | Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 14:30 | Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 14:30 | Will "Iceman - Drake" be the top album for 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 05-28 14:20 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 14:19 | GTA VI released by October 31? | BUY | 0.0599999865 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 13:47 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999312 | $8.00 |
| 05-28 13:46 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 13:46 | Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 05-28 13:46 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 13:45 | Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 13:45 | Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 13:45 | Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |
| 05-28 13:42 | Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 13:35 | Will Varna host Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |