PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa3FE5C8da3692e05396cb83AF5EB8a39BD2Ea7A5-1773781155317

0xa3fe5c8da3692e05396cb83af5eb8a39bd2ea7a5

Realised P&L
$-842.94
Volume
$158.2k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$33.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.6320.858$7.46+$1.96
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · No0.6700.865$6.46+$1.46
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.7400.943$5.10+$1.10
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9400.956$4.07+$0.07
Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.7500.435$4.06−$2.94
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9100.671$2.95−$1.05
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.4100.540$1.32+$0.32
Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026? · Yes0.2900.140$0.97−$1.03
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.8800.395$0.90−$1.10
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? · Yes0.4800.022$0.05−$0.95
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the top album for 2026? · Yes0.4400.004$0.03−$2.97
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$17.33
Will Greece come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 14:37Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
05-28 14:34Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
05-28 14:30Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
05-28 14:30Will "Iceman - Drake" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.4399999707$3.00
05-28 14:20Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
05-28 14:19GTA VI released by October 31?BUY0.0599999865$4.00
05-28 13:47Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8599999312$8.00
05-28 13:46Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.88$2.00
05-28 13:46Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.81$3.00
05-28 13:46Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.7399999593$4.00
05-28 13:45Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.91$4.00
05-28 13:45Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
05-28 13:45Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.75$7.00
05-28 13:42Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
05-28 13:35Will Varna host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.048999954$1.00