PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa3fbca7ba66ac136316557208eb8cf1d0da44a87

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
319
Open portfolio
$780.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded319
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9600.989$721.47+$21.30
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5000.980$58.84+$28.81
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 · JD Gaming0.5100.000$0.00−$255.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$62.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:34StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.0013581538$1.78
10-15 06:34StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.011$3.96
10-15 06:34StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.012$14.40
10-11 06:36Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.959801231$700.17
08-26 00:44Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.998$998.00
08-26 00:31LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsBUY0.7$21.00
08-26 00:30LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsBUY0.72$40.56
07-12 03:19GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.994$994.00
07-02 02:54Will Flauren Win MSI Finals MVPBUY0.998$23.94
07-02 02:52Will Saint Win MSI Finals MVPBUY0.998$99.80
07-02 02:52Will FURIA win MSI 2026?BUY0.999$49.95
06-05 10:37Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?BUY0.988$494.00
05-21 03:07Will BRION qualify for EWC 2026?BUY0.9972727273$54.85
05-21 03:07Will FEARX qualify for EWC 2026?BUY0.9890353707$139.81
05-20 10:45LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2BUY0.51$255.00