PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa3F8332Fef0082Ba39D120ed7FB9099052a25d8E-1733306646143

0xa3f8332fef0082ba39d120ed7fb9099052a25d8e

Realised P&L
$-20.25
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$47.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · No0.9960.997$28.01+$0.01
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9971.000$19.25+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 06:34Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.996$28.00
10-15 13:38US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.998$23.10
10-13 05:52Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.995$18.00
10-12 09:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?BUY0.998$20.70
10-09 19:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?BUY0.9967833059$23.00
10-08 15:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?BUY0.9939999998$20.10
10-03 23:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.995$16.00
10-01 17:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?BUY0.9949999906$22.20
09-29 16:24Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.996$23.80
09-28 06:25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.9979999992$22.70
09-26 16:56Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999746$19.00
09-25 00:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 26?BUY0.995$16.50
09-17 14:10Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$16.00
09-05 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 6?BUY0.996$19.00
09-01 08:37Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.994$28.00