PolyBot

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Traders

0xa3f6dae9c7396cc925569deddc1d35a3ff376341

0xa3f6dae9c7396cc925569deddc1d35a3ff376341

Realised P&L
$-22.39
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$95.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.2390.205$6.87−$1.13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.3970.218$6.58−$5.42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.2420.190$6.27−$1.73
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October? · Yes0.0410.051$5.06+$1.06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? · No0.7000.885$5.06+$1.06
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $200 end of October? · No0.6500.805$4.95+$0.95
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · Yes0.6500.735$4.51+$0.52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 55%-60%? · Yes0.2750.151$4.38−$3.62
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.7500.725$3.87−$0.13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.6900.665$3.85−$0.14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%? · No0.6800.655$3.85−$0.15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%? · No0.8300.780$3.76−$0.24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7240.680$3.76−$0.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%? · No0.8700.765$3.52−$0.48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.8100.658$3.25−$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 19:38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?SELL0.26$3.31
10-18 19:30Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?SELL0.24$8.08
10-18 17:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?SELL0.194$2.85
10-18 17:04Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.2699999966$4.00
10-18 16:40Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.8299998465$4.00
10-18 16:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?BUY0.2725307657$4.00
10-18 16:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.6799999932$4.00
10-18 15:06Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?BUY0.3137254902$4.00
10-18 14:00Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.19$2.62
10-17 23:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more?SELL0.834$3.35
10-17 15:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.26$3.91
10-17 14:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.55$9.17
10-17 14:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.66$0.37
10-17 14:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.6699999163$4.00
10-17 14:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.7099999769$4.00