0xa3f6dae9c7396cc925569deddc1d35a3ff376341
0xa3f6dae9c7396cc925569deddc1d35a3ff376341
- Realised P&L
- $-22.39
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $95.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.79at 0.854Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 15?
- +$2.05at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$1.70at 0.784S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 16?
- +$1.50at 0.621Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?
- +$1.07at 0.883Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:38 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.31 |
| 10-18 19:30 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%? | SELL | 0.24 | $8.08 |
| 10-18 17:40 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%? | SELL | 0.194 | $2.85 |
| 10-18 17:04 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 16:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.8299998465 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 16:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%? | BUY | 0.2725307657 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 16:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 15:06 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 14:00 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.62 |
| 10-17 23:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more? | SELL | 0.834 | $3.35 |
| 10-17 15:22 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.91 |
| 10-17 14:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.55 | $9.17 |
| 10-17 14:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.37 |
| 10-17 14:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 14:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $4.00 |