VAPAPORRA
0xa3f0b63cc320411f24bc44c8f0de2f1e9d775cd7
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $530.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,895
- Open portfolio
- $57.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,895
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.031Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30?
- +$536.71at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
- +$346.94at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?
- +$309.79at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?
- +$307.43at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.60 |
| 09-14 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.87 |
| 09-14 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.38 |
| 09-12 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.05 |
| 09-10 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-09 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 09-08 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0406797172 | $2.99 |
| 09-05 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5? | SELL | 0.0011443467 | $3.94 |
| 09-05 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.25 |
| 09-05 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $12.00 |
| 09-04 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-04 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.277286 | $27.73 |