PolyBot

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Traders

VAPAPORRA

0xa3f0b63cc320411f24bc44c8f0de2f1e9d775cd7

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$530.5k
Markets traded
2,895
Open portfolio
$57.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,895
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0800.160$24.00+$12.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0130.011$12.11$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 18? · Yes0.0500.095$10.74+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 18? · Yes0.0440.030$3.64$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0420.035$2.93$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.0200.025$1.68+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 18? · Yes0.1000.105$1.44+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 18? · Yes0.0160.033$0.66+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.0500.125$0.63+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 17? · Yes0.0800.001$0.07$11.93
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes0.1000.001$0.00$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 18? · Yes0.0100.003$0.00$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$8.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:24Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 15?BUY0.1$0.60
09-14 01:38Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 14?BUY0.07$8.87
09-14 01:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 14?BUY0.07$1.00
09-13 02:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?BUY0.1$2.38
09-12 03:39Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 12?BUY0.03$1.20
09-10 09:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?BUY0.07$0.05
09-10 01:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?BUY0.1$0.50
09-09 18:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 9?BUY0.014$0.07
09-08 15:43Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 8?BUY0.01$0.20
09-08 09:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.0406797172$2.99
09-05 11:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5?SELL0.0011443467$3.94
09-05 07:15Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5?BUY0.002$5.25
09-05 02:36Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?BUY0.07$12.00
09-04 15:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 4?BUY0.1$0.50
09-04 14:57Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 4?BUY0.277286$27.73