Madibela
0xa3e95fe4aa959278b118959b8d8c4f3473e71871
- Realised P&L
- $-0.32
- Volume
- $500.01
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $0.39 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.92at 0.054Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?
- +$-0.53at 0.155Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?
- +$-0.74at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:49 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.0035495677 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 18:44 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.30 |
| 09-21 18:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:22 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.10 |
| 09-21 07:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 09-21 04:15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.104 | $1.91 |
| 09-19 23:46 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:33 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0543515184 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.30 |
| 09-16 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |