87898ghj
0xa3ded07430d477ecf8002ea044b60c1f81117fa0
- Realised P&L
- $122.81
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $79.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $53.03 | +$0.03 |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No | 0.994 | 0.993 | $14.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.81at 0.650Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$67.00at 0.330Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$7.11at 0.929GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
- +$5.00at 0.950Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?
- +$3.67at 0.988Xi Jinping out before October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:15 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 11:15 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $53.00 |
| 09-03 10:25 | Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-03 10:24 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 10:23 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.00 |
| 08-12 10:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9949999577 | $6.00 |
| 08-12 10:40 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $133.00 |
| 07-03 09:15 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 09:14 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $302.00 |
| 07-03 09:11 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.00 |
| 06-12 13:26 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 05-29 08:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9869999988 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 11:10 | Will Solana dip to $10 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $282.00 |
| 05-07 11:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9729998278 | $5.00 |