PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

letzteza

0xa3d3339665f493ebed028df75beb052db1fd16d9

Realised P&L
$342.21
Volume
$771.4k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$597.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3860.926$383.83+$223.83
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2480.645$180.59+$111.19
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? · Yes0.3500.160$20.80$24.71
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3000.024$11.18$131.52
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? · Yes0.1600.006$1.23$29.16
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29) · No0.2400.000$0.00$0.35
Will CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Heat vs. Warriors · Heat0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$149.99
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$149.99
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$149.99
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$90.00
Spurs vs. Rockets · Spurs0.4200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 11:27Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2999999989$142.70
05-16 11:27Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.3859999985$160.00
05-16 11:24Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.18
04-10 06:21Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.006$0.36
04-10 06:21Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$0.24
04-10 06:21Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$0.24
04-10 06:21Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$0.12
04-10 06:21Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$0.12
04-10 06:20Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.18
04-10 06:20Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.007$0.42
04-08 11:49Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.557$11.14
04-06 10:07US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
04-03 14:39Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?SELL0.0143950263$4.32
04-03 14:38Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?SELL0.126$37.80
04-03 14:38Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?SELL0.43$126.53