PolyBot

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Traders

0xa3d27f5dc6ca82f9fa7dcf96fa0ef0c4b599a44c

0xa3d27f5dc6ca82f9fa7dcf96fa0ef0c4b599a44c

Realised P&L
$-28.19
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.1800.161$1.68−$0.20
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$3.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$12.42
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00−$13.38
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$3.33
Will Trump say "Camera" this week? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Trump say "Drone" this week? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 17:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1959999828$8.63
07-09 17:57Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.32$7.64
07-09 17:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$8.55
07-09 17:56Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.16$9.36
07-02 17:41Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064999982$3.33
07-02 17:40Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.080999985$4.74
07-02 17:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1069999809$4.74
07-02 17:40Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999731$4.75
07-02 17:40Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3469999561$4.78
07-02 17:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.996$23.48
06-08 02:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.9099999992$21.45
05-27 16:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.9939999998$21.32
05-21 19:47Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?SELL0.011$0.12
05-21 16:06Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Trump" 5+ times on Thursday?BUY0.98$7.22
05-21 16:06Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?BUY0.0271295197$1.87