driftnea
0xa3d06f2a01308b585eb37bfe92c18f34416e9e78
- Realised P&L
- $6.94
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $186.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.990 | 0.986 | $49.90 | −$0.20 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.984 | 0.977 | $49.72 | −$0.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.979 | $48.04 | −$0.12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat? · No | 0.968 | 0.975 | $39.04 | +$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.961Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.946Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.10at 0.975Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$0.76at 0.940Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.964Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 07:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.38 |
| 07-23 07:55 | Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.958 | $47.33 |
| 07-23 07:54 | Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 04-10 13:02 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.52 |