PolyBot

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Traders

0xa3c861bc79df5a9c1ce225f0fd275be75a877f5a

0xa3c861bc79df5a9c1ce225f0fd275be75a877f5a

Realised P&L
$-98.59
Volume
$44.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0500.055$880.00+$80.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.013$344.72−$155.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.05$800.00
08-22 02:47Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0181306965$500.00
07-19 06:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5909999999$1000.00
07-07 01:28United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSELL0.04$36.36
07-07 00:13United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3299999993$300.00
07-03 22:31Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.009$80.00
07-02 23:01Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1674999987$100.00
07-02 05:29Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.0631746032$5.97
07-02 05:29Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.0998694655$5.66
07-02 05:29Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.1245792538$9.42
07-02 05:29Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.1448055041$10.94
07-01 22:36Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026BUY0.3840181603$40.00
07-01 22:36Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026BUY0.2018183836$40.00
06-27 20:23Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.36$15.33
06-27 17:22Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.3523033347$15.00