0xa3c861bc79df5a9c1ce225f0fd275be75a877f5a
0xa3c861bc79df5a9c1ce225f0fd275be75a877f5a
- Realised P&L
- $-98.59
- Volume
- $44.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $880.00 | +$80.00 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $344.72 | −$155.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$641.60at 0.621Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$77.85at 0.180Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
- +$-1.36at 0.372Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$-49.64at 0.158Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$-57.31at 0.286Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $800.00 |
| 08-22 02:47 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0181306965 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 06:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 01:28 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.04 | $36.36 |
| 07-07 00:13 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3299999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-03 22:31 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.009 | $80.00 |
| 07-02 23:01 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1674999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 05:29 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.0631746032 | $5.97 |
| 07-02 05:29 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.0998694655 | $5.66 |
| 07-02 05:29 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.1245792538 | $9.42 |
| 07-02 05:29 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.1448055041 | $10.94 |
| 07-01 22:36 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.3840181603 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 22:36 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.2018183836 | $40.00 |
| 06-27 20:23 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.36 | $15.33 |
| 06-27 17:22 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.3523033347 | $15.00 |