alvarogzgz1
0xa3c76148c4a37260d29122a619504d69e6da6d47
- Realised P&L
- $-116.10
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $128.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.945 | $103.72 | +$13.72 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.210 | $31.22 | −$68.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-50.04at 0.195Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 15:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $90.00 |
| 04-23 08:08 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.672697917 | $100.00 |
| 04-23 08:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.0914462252 | $44.16 |
| 04-22 14:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1950610541 | $88.41 |