Lxxxxx
0xa3c64af237f6e12dd7a9ea95825f8dba30470547
- Realised P&L
- $-40.5k
- Volume
- $834.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $12.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.8kat 0.608Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.1kat 0.198Trump wins every swing state?
- +$2.7kat 0.728Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.730Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.618Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-19 13:27 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.72 |
| 01-19 13:26 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.067 | $15.39 |
| 01-19 13:03 | Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $232.32 |
| 01-19 13:02 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.265 | $243.22 |
| 01-19 12:55 | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $988.52 |
| 01-19 12:34 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.34 |
| 01-19 11:26 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.4k |
| 01-19 02:12 | Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 01-19 02:07 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.3k |
| 01-19 02:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.34 |
| 01-19 02:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $42.76 |
| 01-19 01:46 | Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | BUY | 0.918 | $929.18 |
| 01-19 01:45 | Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $379.92 |
| 11-09 07:15 | Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | BUY | 0.6120419832 | $749.32 |
| 11-05 06:58 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.5959999984 | $100.00 |