PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lxxxxx

0xa3c64af237f6e12dd7a9ea95825f8dba30470547

Realised P&L
$-40.5k
Volume
$834.5k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2000.041$11.5k$45.2k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.045$644.24$2.8k
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · No0.8701.000$197.00+$25.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$955.38
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.0k
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$4.0k
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$952.51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No0.3800.000$0.00$3.8k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$7.26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$34.00
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$2.9k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$89.36
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$21.90
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$18.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-19 13:27Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.05$2.72
01-19 13:26Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.067$15.39
01-19 13:03Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.07$232.32
01-19 13:02Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.265$243.22
01-19 12:55Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.73$988.52
01-19 12:34Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.18$27.34
01-19 11:26Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.24$2.4k
01-19 02:12Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.008$0.06
01-19 02:07Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2$30.3k
01-19 02:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.026$5.34
01-19 02:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.18$42.76
01-19 01:46Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?BUY0.918$929.18
01-19 01:45Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?BUY0.27$379.92
11-09 07:15Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY0.6120419832$749.32
11-05 06:58Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?BUY0.5959999984$100.00