0xa3c5f1127d0065ed31d8128446d61dbc62c4476c
0xa3c5f1127d0065ed31d8128446d61dbc62c4476c
- Realised P&L
- $7.14
- Volume
- $261.88
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.967 | $2.05 | +$0.08 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Down | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.97at 0.286Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$3.44at 0.369Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$2.58at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$2.44at 0.451Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$1.69at 0.543Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:52 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999109 | $1.94 |
| 09-22 06:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998894 | $1.93 |
| 09-22 06:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999829 | $1.96 |
| 09-22 06:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999567 | $1.92 |
| 09-22 06:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.97 |
| 09-22 06:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999482 | $1.91 |
| 09-22 06:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999664 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 06:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999861 | $1.97 |
| 09-22 06:03 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999821 | $1.97 |
| 09-22 06:02 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998745 | $1.91 |
| 09-22 05:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999672 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999665 | $1.94 |
| 09-22 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999829 | $1.96 |
| 09-22 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999532 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 05:14 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.97 |