malenkihren
0xa3c3c267b072f443cda9b2feee772047c1a513e3
- Realised P&L
- $-113.11
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 693
- Open portfolio
- $5.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded693
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.270 | $1.96 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.340 | $1.93 | −$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.998 | $1.92 | +$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.26 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.88at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?
- +$13.19at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?
- +$12.84at 0.331Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 23?
- +$11.98at 0.249Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 29?
- +$10.85at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3712036728 | $2.11 |
| 10-04 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2831279259 | $2.06 |
| 10-04 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 13:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3699999533 | $2.30 |
| 10-03 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3699999552 | $2.31 |
| 10-03 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.28 |
| 10-03 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.31 |
| 10-03 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.28 |
| 10-03 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 18:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.30 |
| 10-02 15:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.35 |
| 10-02 13:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.96 | $4.85 |