rrt668
0xa3bf9fb3fa06f307d9a52abe9c4ca0538e4b6577
- Realised P&L
- $352.94
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $40.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.945 | 0.984 | $29.52 | +$1.17 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.835 | $9.19 | −$0.71 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.994 | $1.97 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.08at 0.490Stars vs. Devils
- +$3.85at 0.945Will Solana dip to $100 in August?
- +$1.26at 0.530Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.07at 0.943Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.06at 0.940Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-11 09:01 | Will Solana dip to $20 in March? | BUY | 0.9959999332 | $3.10 |
| 03-11 09:01 | Will Solana reach $160 in March? | BUY | 0.9969998926 | $2.19 |
| 03-11 09:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 03-11 09:00 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.36 |
| 03-11 08:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.39 |
| 12-03 12:25 | Stars vs. Devils | BUY | 0.49 | $333.47 |
| 10-10 08:54 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.59 |
| 10-10 08:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October? | BUY | 0.988 | $40.51 |
| 10-10 08:53 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | BUY | 0.987 | $13.27 |
| 09-22 03:53 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $70.08 |
| 05-24 13:52 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.42 |
| 01-06 04:12 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.995 | $45.53 |
| 01-06 04:11 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.993 | $45.53 |
| 01-03 11:18 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.996 | $45.67 |
| 01-03 11:17 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8099999772 | $1.42 |