PolyBot

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Traders

BrutallyHonest

0xa3bc2f1a97b2e271a8b9b52111ee61d4218c229d

Realised P&L
$-324.84
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$53.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4750.255$26.84−$23.16
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1130.060$26.51−$23.49
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$44.00
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$20.00
NATO article 5 in 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$18.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$6.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$6.20
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$40.00
NATO Article 5 by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$25.00
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$5.40
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$43.23
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$109.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 11:13Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4750329787$50.00
09-24 13:51Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.1131572259$50.00
08-10 19:03Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.0743386667$5.58
08-10 19:02US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.18$18.00
08-10 19:02Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.1$10.00
08-10 19:01China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.06$21.43
08-10 19:01Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.963$96.30
05-22 13:23US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.52$52.00
05-16 16:11Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5579999804$10.00
05-16 02:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2821331473$31.34
01-20 17:06Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.81$81.00
01-15 12:47Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.55$55.00
01-15 12:47Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.3$33.33
01-15 12:22Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.3$30.00
01-06 01:04Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999939$20.00