Katmaveldacitmeck
0xa3bab8cb84dd1837e727fb249ee50473eb9095e2
- Realised P&L
- $-779.52
- Volume
- $144.5k
- Markets traded
- 309
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded309
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.97at 0.448Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$163.50at 0.455England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$105.59at 0.120Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
- +$69.00at 0.310Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$38.80at 0.030Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.0022991931 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.59 |
| 09-15 13:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 16? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.05 |
| 09-04 19:01 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-04 18:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.26 |
| 09-04 18:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.51 |
| 09-04 18:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.05 |
| 09-01 20:55 | Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-01 15:53 | US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 08-26 16:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.354 | $28.32 |
| 08-16 10:10 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $18.00 |
| 08-15 19:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.282 | $19.74 |
| 08-11 18:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 08-04 17:31 | Will Denver Broncos finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |