PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

instacum

0xa3b86628e9824773d183e7d088b950d31b5a720c

Realised P&L
$-37.87
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$263.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat? · No0.9680.986$53.98+$0.96
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9570.986$53.32+$1.54
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9710.980$53.01+$0.46
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9790.987$52.71+$0.40
Obama arrested before 2027? · No0.9820.975$50.73−$0.36
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9770.000$0.00−$48.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 12:54Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.962$19.24