1280342
0xa3b7984642e093523f11da426a9646ae6a86eae5
- Realised P&L
- $89.87
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $218.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.33at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?
- +$52.13at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?
- +$34.23at 0.627Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 14?
- +$10.36at 0.117Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 14?
- +$10.12at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0772699353 | $7.04 |
| 10-15 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0043958728 | $0.42 |
| 10-15 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.66 |
| 10-15 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.94 |
| 10-15 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.148184 | $7.41 |
| 10-15 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5594219694 | $45.00 |
| 10-15 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.171028 | $8.55 |
| 10-15 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0360272636 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.1334965035 | $1.91 |
| 10-15 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.1933314174 | $16.82 |
| 10-15 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 10-15 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0277058089 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $7.00 |
| 10-15 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0522901705 | $1.44 |