PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

1280342

0xa3b7984642e093523f11da426a9646ae6a86eae5

Realised P&L
$89.87
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$218.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?SELL0.0772699353$7.04
10-15 02:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?SELL0.0043958728$0.42
10-15 02:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?SELL0.007$0.66
10-15 02:51Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 15?SELL0.12$2.94
10-15 02:51Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?SELL0.148184$7.41
10-15 02:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.5594219694$45.00
10-15 02:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?SELL0.171028$8.55
10-15 02:44Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15?BUY0.0360272636$1.00
10-15 02:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15?SELL0.1334965035$1.91
10-15 02:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?BUY0.16$8.00
10-15 02:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15?SELL0.1933314174$16.82
10-15 02:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.18$9.00
10-15 02:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 15?BUY0.0277058089$1.00
10-15 02:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.1299999996$7.00
10-15 02:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 15?SELL0.0522901705$1.44