PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736

0xa3b5da76ffbbe3325bb1b40a30f6a4634962941a

Realised P&L
$50.7k
Volume
$3.92M
Markets traded
2,711
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,711
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0640.056$684.80$108.73
Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Titans0.5300.535$191.24+$1.79
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 · Under0.5000.505$101.00+$1.00
Will Texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? · Yes0.2500.350$35.00+$10.00
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner · KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas0.2580.000$0.00$210.61
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner · Dplus KIA Challengers0.4600.000$0.00$230.00
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier · KT Rolster0.5660.000$0.00$902.23
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 · Under0.5500.000$0.00$426.76
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner · Eintracht Frankfurt0.3300.000$0.00$98.13
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs · Maryville University0.4850.000$0.00$630.58
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) · Karmine Corp0.3000.000$0.00$90.00
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs · Nongshim Esports Academy0.5800.000$0.00$466.40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.5260.000$0.00$299.60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner · Dplus KIA0.3900.000$0.00$101.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs · fnatic0.3400.000$0.00$169.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:00CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.51$151.06
09-16 14:25Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.38$114.00
09-16 13:58Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.4$253.68
09-16 13:47Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.6$398.29
09-16 13:44Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.65$26.00
09-16 13:44Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABUY0.69$22.08
09-16 13:41Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.54$16.20
09-16 13:40Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABUY0.64$12.80
09-16 13:26Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.58$164.80
09-16 13:14Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABUY0.71$60.46
09-16 13:12Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABUY0.71$213.00
09-16 13:11Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABUY0.71$213.00
09-16 12:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$240.00
09-16 12:33Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5BUY0.52$83.93
09-16 12:07Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5BUY0.58$2.90