Etheldfb
0xa3ad7bc3971e473c1b0d17c0804fff45cfb2b70c
- Realised P&L
- $-15.60
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $47.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION | 0.770 | 1.000 | $38.00 | +$8.74 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.360 | 0.385 | $9.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.27 |
| Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.45 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.79at 0.500Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.42at 0.500Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$12.84at 0.500Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$11.28at 0.582Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofner
- +$9.02at 0.750Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:53 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 08-24 06:17 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $11.27 |
| 08-22 02:08 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $29.26 |
| 08-05 08:21 | UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.72 | $16.92 |
| 07-21 02:13 | Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofner | BUY | 0.57 | $15.39 |
| 07-09 08:41 | Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.727 | $23.26 |
| 06-11 09:40 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $25.90 |
| 06-11 09:39 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 06-11 09:39 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.68 | $15.03 |
| 06-08 11:39 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 05-26 08:18 | Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $24.45 |
| 04-30 07:51 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $47.95 |
| 04-30 07:50 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.00 |
| 04-20 03:50 | Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 04-20 03:50 | Will Clark Dean win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.96 |