PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Etheldfb

0xa3ad7bc3971e473c1b0d17c0804fff45cfb2b70c

Realised P&L
$-15.60
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$47.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.7701.000$38.00+$8.74
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Jaguars0.3600.385$9.63+$0.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? · No0.4900.000$0.00$11.27
Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw? · No0.7300.000$0.00$24.45
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$15.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:53Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)BUY0.36$9.00
08-24 06:17Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?BUY0.49$11.27
08-22 02:08Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.77$29.26
08-05 08:21UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.72$16.92
07-21 02:13Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian OfnerBUY0.57$15.39
07-09 08:41Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY0.727$23.26
06-11 09:40Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.996$25.90
06-11 09:39Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.003$0.08
06-11 09:39Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.68$15.03
06-08 11:39Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 10?BUY0.999$14.00
05-26 08:18Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?BUY0.73$24.45
04-30 07:51Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.997$47.95
04-30 07:50Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.998$48.00
04-20 03:50Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 22?BUY0.999$6.00
04-20 03:50Will Clark Dean win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.998$34.96