PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mceee

0xa3a9a8384ba9dac56da62d994c82df53e4aa6c89

Realised P&L
$519.13
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? · No0.3960.405$227.21+$5.11
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · Yes0.5410.505$167.46$12.11
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.8100.805$135.65$0.85
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.5630.715$126.92+$26.92
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.6810.795$116.23+$16.70
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? · No0.6750.830$99.59+$18.60
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · No0.6370.505$94.66$24.68
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? · No0.8980.930$91.14+$3.08
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · No0.7300.705$53.21$1.89
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6800.715$52.91+$2.59
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by September 30? · No0.8900.536$20.07$13.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 01:24Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.7399999855$11.25
09-21 01:23Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.54$86.65
09-21 01:22Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?SELL0.86$100.55
09-21 01:21Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.5019081217$26.80
09-21 01:21Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?SELL0.91$27.30
09-21 01:20Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.5351237089$54.87
09-21 01:20Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?SELL0.92$46.00
09-21 01:18Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.7$35.00
09-21 01:17Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?SELL0.92$46.00
09-21 00:38Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.6099999997$53.34
09-21 00:37Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.46$46.00
09-20 18:08Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.79$7.90
09-20 02:18Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.39$31.20
09-20 02:03Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?BUY0.93$27.90
09-20 01:50Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?BUY0.62$31.00