mceee
0xa3a9a8384ba9dac56da62d994c82df53e4aa6c89
- Realised P&L
- $519.13
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.396 | 0.405 | $227.21 | +$5.11 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.505 | $167.46 | −$12.11 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.805 | $135.65 | −$0.85 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.715 | $126.92 | +$26.92 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No | 0.681 | 0.795 | $116.23 | +$16.70 |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? · No | 0.675 | 0.830 | $99.59 | +$18.60 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · No | 0.637 | 0.505 | $94.66 | −$24.68 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? · No | 0.898 | 0.930 | $91.14 | +$3.08 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.730 | 0.705 | $53.21 | −$1.89 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.680 | 0.715 | $52.91 | +$2.59 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by September 30? · No | 0.890 | 0.536 | $20.07 | −$13.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.87at 0.401Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- +$131.37at 0.673Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$71.27at 0.723Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$63.87at 0.765Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
- +$58.07at 0.006Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:24 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.7399999855 | $11.25 |
| 09-21 01:23 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.54 | $86.65 |
| 09-21 01:22 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $100.55 |
| 09-21 01:21 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.5019081217 | $26.80 |
| 09-21 01:21 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-21 01:20 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.5351237089 | $54.87 |
| 09-21 01:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 09-21 01:18 | Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-21 01:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 09-21 00:38 | Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $53.34 |
| 09-21 00:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-20 18:08 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-20 02:18 | Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $31.20 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-20 01:50 | Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |