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0xa3a60f97e8ea97a2b9549eb8f9c0dce5145a3d43
- Realised P&L
- $-809.04
- Volume
- $66.4k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $51.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.150 | $46.43 | −$18.57 |
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.009 | $3.14 | −$25.59 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $2.04 | −$5.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.27at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$263.96at 0.607Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$261.26at 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$191.43at 0.617Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$23.29at 0.340Lakers vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:53 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.18 |
| 09-12 07:47 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.88 |
| 09-12 07:33 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders? | SELL | 0.35 | $12.44 |
| 09-07 05:43 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-31 12:52 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on August 31? | SELL | 0.3719047619 | $7.81 |
| 08-31 12:46 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on August 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-26 09:15 | Over $2.25M committed to the Multipli public sale? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-26 09:14 | Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-26 09:14 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-26 09:01 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.06 |
| 08-26 08:59 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.02 |
| 08-26 08:51 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.05145 | $1.03 |
| 08-26 08:25 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-26 08:05 | Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-26 08:00 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |