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0xa3a60f97e8ea97a2b9549eb8f9c0dce5145a3d43
- Realised P&L
- $-834.16
- Volume
- $74.0k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $35.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.110 | $34.05 | −$30.95 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $1.40 | −$6.60 |
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.27at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$263.96at 0.607Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$261.26at 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$191.43at 0.617Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$23.29at 0.340Lakers vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-28 07:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.40 |
| 10-28 07:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.03075 | $2.46 |
| 10-28 07:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-28 07:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.207 | $1.03 |
| 10-28 06:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 10-28 06:44 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.337 | $67.74 |
| 10-27 11:27 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 10-27 11:24 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.049 | $4.41 |
| 10-27 10:39 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-27 10:26 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0291555 | $0.58 |
| 10-27 10:26 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 11:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-26 10:48 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3 | $45.00 |
| 10-26 10:46 | Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |