0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A
0xa3a417e434923aeaf97afe9a61b10ff9364e5106
- Realised P&L
- $160.8k
- Volume
- $10.71M
- Markets traded
- 703
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded703
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.7kat 0.500Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$27.3kat 0.500Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$21.7kat 0.008Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$16.7kat 0.500Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$13.0kat 0.036Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:55 | Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.00570366 | $2.85 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |