0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A
0xa3a417e434923aeaf97afe9a61b10ff9364e5106
- Realised P&L
- $941.3k
- Volume
- $40.21M
- Markets traded
- 840
- Open portfolio
- $24.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded840
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.6kat 0.033Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$190.3kat 0.052Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$160.7kat 0.018Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$93.8kat 0.008Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$75.3kat 0.008Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:44 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.95 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.55 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.65 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.404 | $262.60 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.55 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $13.30 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $7.80 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.404 | $230.27 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will Srđan Milivojević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |