0xA3A18BCF7147a3d8F7d1a1D4c0B40138f7b18209-1767602973187
0xa3a18bcf7147a3d8f7d1a1d4c0b40138f7b18209
- Realised P&L
- $-103.78
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $14.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.024 | $14.50 | −$7.61 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.71 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-8.64at 0.018Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-12 18:57 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.0279999993 | $40.71 |
| 01-12 07:40 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.0388679848 | $35.65 |
| 01-12 07:37 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.0238734005 | $35.65 |
| 01-09 18:28 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.0163580648 | $24.43 |
| 01-09 18:24 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.0132348731 | $24.43 |
| 01-09 18:22 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0179187231 | $33.07 |
| 01-05 12:02 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.0601918593 | $22.39 |
| 01-05 10:09 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0358414805 | $22.11 |