xclips
0xa3a16dc78daf583da3d7bdd1ba1fcc73a88e3f5e
- Realised P&L
- $1.34
- Volume
- $384.18
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $36.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.795 | $29.54 | +$15.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.200 | $7.43 | −$8.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 13? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.19at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?
- +$20.15at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 14?
- +$18.36at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4186538365 | $15.55 |
| 09-15 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.3886542355 | $14.44 |
| 09-15 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.39 |
| 09-15 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.14 |
| 09-14 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.5499999429 | $2.89 |
| 09-14 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-14 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.5280371102 | $16.06 |
| 09-14 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2599999993 | $7.91 |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.250815665 | $6.83 |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.4826536695 | $13.14 |
| 09-13 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.5277127509 | $14.42 |
| 09-13 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3014859415 | $8.24 |
| 09-13 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.892962963 | $24.11 |
| 09-13 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.40 |
| 09-13 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.5298312029 | $14.44 |