leanndrow
0xa39a4932600d266638d13eafcac1bf268607ac2c
- Realised P&L
- $1.23
- Volume
- $82.59
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $14.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.475 | $6.67 | −$1.33 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $6.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.966 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.013 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.065 | $0.24 | −$1.76 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April · Something | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.331Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$0.68at 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:26 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 13:20 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $8.00 |
| 04-13 14:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |
| 04-08 09:33 | Nothing Ever Happens: April | BUY | 0.5799997332 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 11:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 11:37 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BUY | 0.3313361052 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:10 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 15:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999612 | $1.00 |