creedguy
0xa3976be2060e2639b1844a8591802e146f3d7817
- Realised P&L
- $506.40
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 647
- Open portfolio
- $414.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded647
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.30at 0.234Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18?
- +$35.50at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 5?
- +$35.24at 0.302Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?
- +$33.82at 0.375Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 26?
- +$33.56at 0.381Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5165564738 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.481966581 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.37 |
| 09-18 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-18 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4982563932 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.6019743178 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.5631081081 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.66 |
| 09-18 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2282109557 | $7.83 |
| 09-18 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.63 | $15.00 |