creedguy
0xa3976be2060e2639b1844a8591802e146f3d7817
- Realised P&L
- $57.44
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $179.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.38at 0.453England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$18.86at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?
- +$17.03at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30?
- +$16.93at 0.525Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 31?
- +$16.63at 0.367Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.41 | $9.76 |
| 08-04 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 08-04 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-03 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.53 | $9.82 |
| 08-03 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.63 |
| 08-03 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.90 |
| 08-03 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.94 |
| 08-03 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.00 |