vastusko
0xa393defefdfc1317d94b3c76ab8915851e13fabe
- Realised P&L
- $271.21
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $230.91
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.68at 0.733Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 9?
- +$9.78at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?
- +$8.82at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?
- +$8.82at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?
- +$8.55at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:08 | Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7699999821 | $4.74 |
| 09-18 15:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.40 |
| 09-18 12:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.60 |
| 09-18 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.789999886 | $4.92 |
| 09-18 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7399999773 | $4.56 |
| 09-18 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7799999837 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 06:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.20 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5199999781 | $4.74 |
| 09-18 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7399999918 | $19.76 |
| 09-18 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8099999886 | $4.98 |
| 09-18 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.24 |
| 09-18 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.7399999907 | $19.00 |
| 09-18 04:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $14.76 |
| 09-18 04:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7699999821 | $4.74 |
| 09-18 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8299999938 | $13.44 |