vastusko
0xa393defefdfc1317d94b3c76ab8915851e13fabe
- Realised P&L
- $66.70
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $160.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.42at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?
- +$6.52at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?
- +$6.13at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 29?
- +$4.90at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 2?
- +$4.49at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9199999961 | $9.40 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9099999932 | $9.30 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9299999941 | $9.50 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8199999858 | $9.24 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7299999805 | $9.75 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6599999958 | $9.52 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8299999876 | $9.35 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9149999961 | $9.35 |
| 08-04 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.24 |
| 08-04 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8699999973 | $9.79 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.57 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6799999889 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.20 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8599999982 | $9.68 |