0xa38C6500B81C0323c8d7d6D37588746412b8e566-1770960179096
0xa38c6500b81c0323c8d7d6d37588746412b8e566
- Realised P&L
- $8.94
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $1.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.980 | $1.83 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.86at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
- +$34.99at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$5.73at 0.727Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)
- +$5.58at 0.732North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$5.43at 0.736Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:01 | Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.85 |
| 08-21 00:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999907 | $1.70 |
| 08-21 00:45 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.12 |
| 06-30 12:08 | Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 06-29 11:00 | Spread: Japan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 09:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.99 |
| 06-29 09:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609998685 | $7.00 |
| 06-23 18:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 06-23 15:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.747 | $5.99 |
| 06-23 14:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7479998788 | $6.00 |
| 06-22 22:43 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.975 | $6.99 |
| 06-22 22:24 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.976 | $7.00 |
| 06-22 15:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.00 |
| 06-21 15:39 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.00 |
| 06-20 01:46 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.00 |