Rogerclue
0xa38b0309d19534ff57d8ea21c3dbe7ddee0b5d4a
- Realised P&L
- $-127.20
- Volume
- $173.4k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $98.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.086Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
- +$723.63at 0.210Will USC beat Minnesota?
- +$380.50at 0.620Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
- +$326.12at 0.7311 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
- +$314.39at 0.245Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:43 | USC vs. Penn State | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 18:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3299999959 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 18:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3249999938 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 18:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999971 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 03:07 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 02:09 | Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5399999968 | $75.00 |
| 07-11 23:57 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5724999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 23:21 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 20:58 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2174999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 18:50 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2425000012 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |