PolyBot

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Traders

Bitdog77

0xa38744aa4c1e7a11b933dff1f7e24f57e8623d3c

Realised P&L
$-623.52
Volume
$54.0k
Markets traded
527
Open portfolio
$25.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded527
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12? · Yes0.3800.380$15.53+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12? · Yes0.2900.235$10.34−$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9? · Yes0.3400.001$0.05−$33.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.1920.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$34.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$1.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 23:42Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?SELL0.264$13.20
10-10 05:23Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?SELL0.22$3.10
10-10 05:23Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?SELL0.1061578186$5.14
10-10 05:23Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?SELL0.2169097889$5.65
10-10 04:38Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.21$4.66
10-10 04:38Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.21$5.46
10-10 04:35Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?SELL0.15$2.83
10-10 04:34Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?SELL0.147804878$6.06
10-10 01:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?SELL0.21$5.25
10-09 23:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
10-09 23:38Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.5599999851$3.00
10-09 10:09Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?SELL0.08$0.70
10-09 10:02Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?SELL0.08$1.11
10-09 09:43Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?SELL0.08$1.40
10-09 09:37Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?SELL0.08$2.16