Bitdog77
0xa38744aa4c1e7a11b933dff1f7e24f57e8623d3c
- Realised P&L
- $-623.52
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $25.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.22at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?
- +$165.36at 0.672Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?
- +$162.88at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14?
- +$132.50at 0.739Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 4?
- +$130.18at 0.721Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.264 | $13.20 |
| 10-10 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.10 |
| 10-10 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.1061578186 | $5.14 |
| 10-10 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.2169097889 | $5.65 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.66 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.46 |
| 10-10 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.83 |
| 10-10 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.147804878 | $6.06 |
| 10-10 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.25 |
| 10-09 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.70 |
| 10-09 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.11 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.40 |
| 10-09 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.16 |