cjadnf1
0xa385a14811a991c23f8f4fa6b1ce312463763317
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $55.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · FlyQuest | 0.679 | 0.001 | $4.67 | −$6.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.341LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis - Game 4 Winner
- +$1.9kat 0.701LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.1kat 0.784LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs
- +$-320.80at 0.763LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis - Game 4 Winner
- +$-1.6kat 0.786LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:17 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $301.50 |
| 09-25 21:16 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.68 | $6.1k |
| 09-25 20:59 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $6.5k |
| 09-25 20:12 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6899999973 | $76.08 |
| 09-25 20:08 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $271.90 |
| 09-25 19:11 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $4.5k |
| 09-25 19:07 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.81 | $648.00 |
| 09-25 19:07 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.8015888 | $1.2k |
| 09-25 19:07 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-25 19:06 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.76 | $164.95 |
| 09-25 19:06 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $24.38 |
| 09-25 19:04 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $27.70 |
| 09-25 19:04 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.5462884173 | $415.75 |
| 09-25 19:04 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.532496625 | $851.99 |
| 09-25 18:57 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.8617611457 | $143.81 |